Economics 439 Law, Economics & Statistics Spring 2015
Economics 439 Law, Economics & Statistics Spring 2015
Economics 439 Law, Economics & Statistics Spring 2015 Prof. Kathie Barnes Midterm Take-Home Exam Please note that the Honor Code applies to this exam - Do NOT discuss the exam, work with others or obtain help from others in completing this exam question. 1. LCD Monitor Anti-trust case The Department oqustice (Do)) is investigating HP for conspiring with LCD monitor manufacturers to artificially raise the price of monitors that they sell with desktop computers. They have strong evidence that the conspiracy started in August 2005, and ended in January 2007. They are trying to find the total amount that HP was able to overcharge during this time period. The DO] has data on the total sales (in thousands of dollars) of monitors for each month between January 2005 and December 2007 for both HP, and Acer, which was not a part ofthe conspiracy. A. Create a measure of how much the HP overcharged (in total) per month during the conspiracy. Explain any assumptions you are making. You may want to take into account the following: a. Sales of monitors are traditionally higher in August & September for the start of school, and in December because of Christmas. b. All computer companies have seen their sale of desktop computers drop over time as more and more consumers choose laptop computers (which do not have LCD monitors). B. Provide an estimate of the total amount HP overcharged consumers during the entire 18 month conspiracy. C. Provide a 95% confidence interval as bounds for your total found in part B. Remember to EXPLAIN what you are doing, and why. Email your final answer to me at: [email protected] by 5pm MST (Tucson Time) Friday. Ifyou are unable to email me your answer, you can drop it off at Law Rm 210 (faculty assistants) until 5pm. Note that the second floor of the law school locks automatically at 5pm sharp, so you can’t be late! Include in your answer all calculations you made, either by attaching the excel spreadsheet (or log file for Stata) to the email, or printing it out.
1. LCD
Monitor
Anti--trust
case
The
Department
of
Justice
(DOJ)
is
investigating
HP
for
conspiring
with
LCD
monitor
manufacturers
to
artificially
raise
the
price
of
monitors
that
they
sell
with
desktop
computers.
They
have
strong
evidence
that
the
conspiracy
started
in
August
2005,
and
ended
in
January
2007.
They
are
trying
to
find
the
total
amount
that
HP
was
able
to
overcharge
during
this
time
period.
The
DOJ
has
data
on
the
total
sales
(in
thousands
of
dollars)
of
monitors
for
each
month
between
January
2005
and
December
2007
for
both
HP,
and
Acer,
which
was
not
a
part
of
the
conspiracy.
A. Create
a
measure
of
how
much
the
HP
overcharged
(in
total)
per
month
during
the
conspiracy.
Explain
any
assumptions
you
are
making.
You
may
want
to
take
into
account
the
following:
a. Sales
of
monitors
are
traditionally
higher
in
August
&
September
for
the
start
of
school,
and
in
December
because
of
Christmas.
b. All
computer
companies
have
seen
their
sale
of
desktop
computers
drop
over
time
as
more
and
more
consumers
choose
laptop
computers
(which
do
not
have
LCD
monitors).
B. Provide
an
estimate
of
the
total
amount
HP
overcharged
consumers
during
the
entire
18
month
conspiracy.
C. Provide
a
95%
confidence
interval
as
bounds
for
your
total
found
in
part
B.
Remember
to
EXPLAIN
what
you
are
doing,
and
why.
Email
your
final
answer
to
me
at:
[email protected]
by
5pm
MST
(Tucson
Time)
Friday.
If
you
are
unable
to
email
me
your
answer,
you
can
drop
it
off
at
Law
Rm
210
(faculty
assistants)
until
5pm.
Note
that
the
second
floor
of
the
law
school
locks
automatically
at
5pm
sharp,
so
you
can’t
be
late!
Include
in
your
answer
all
calculations
you
made,
either
by
attaching
the
excel
spreadsheet
(or
log
file
for
Month Seller Total_Sales Month Seller Total_Sales
Jan-2005 HP 290824 Jan-2005 Acer 335314
Feb-2005 HP 322059 Feb-2005 Acer 330075
Mar-2005 HP 294593 Mar-2005 Acer 319450
Apr-2005 HP 299633 Apr-2005 Acer 315772
May-2005 HP 272018 May-2005 Acer 305127
Jun-2005 HP 281315 Jun-2005 Acer 324702
Jul-2005 HP 280747 Jul-2005 Acer 311380
Aug-2005 HP 458142 Aug-2005 Acer 381264
Sep-2005 HP 375035 Sep-2005 Acer 334663
Oct-2005 HP 309355 Oct-2005 Acer 305822
Nov-2005 HP 327711 Nov-2005 Acer 287949
Dec-2005 HP 456506 Dec-2005 Acer 347807
Jan-2006 HP 317482 Jan-2006 Acer 303182
Feb-2006 HP 328067 Feb-2006 Acer 292840
Mar-2006 HP 321012 Mar-2006 Acer 301249
Apr-2006 HP 326483 Apr-2006 Acer 275076
May-2006 HP 316931 May-2006 Acer 265413
Jun-2006 HP 289260 Jun-2006 Acer 265582
Jul-2006 HP 309149 Jul-2006 Acer 286118
Aug-2006 HP 420157 Aug-2006 Acer 328732
Sep-2006 HP 345702 Sep-2006 Acer 291343
Oct-2006 HP 298486 Oct-2006 Acer 278983
Nov-2006 HP 286682 Nov-2006 Acer 264530
Dec-2006 HP 389410 Dec-2006 Acer 319120
Jan-2007 HP 280358 Jan-2007 Acer 259740
Feb-2007 HP 251234 Feb-2007 Acer 254084
Mar-2007 HP 235999 Mar-2007 Acer 271715
Apr-2007 HP 239748 Apr-2007 Acer 262205
May-2007 HP 240845 May-2007 Acer 246004
Jun-2007 HP 231578 Jun-2007 Acer 253979
Jul-2007 HP 250427 Jul-2007 Acer 242102
Aug-2007 HP 270813 Aug-2007 Acer 267226
Sep-2007 HP 272242 Sep-2007 Acer 262497
Oct-2007 HP 216063 Oct-2007 Acer 212601
Nov-2007 HP 185808 Nov-2007 Acer 236073
Dec-2007 HP 303301 Dec-2007 Acer 260296
29.