Reasoning models – logical framework approach

 

 

Solution material 5. Reasoning models – logical framework approach (weight 10%)
In the television program Kveik from October 4, there is an interview with Harald Þorleifsson, the founder of technology and the design company Ueno (https://www.ruv.is/kveikur/vill-ekki-ad-bornin-noti-snjallsima/). In
the interview, Haraldur says that it appears that the use of smart devices will have to be restricted in the future, which was done in connection with smoking. The effects of these devices have not been observed. An excerpt from the interview follows
stated below.

After listening to the interview, you have decided to start an organization aiming to reduce children’s use of intelligent devices in Iceland. To finance the project, you have agreed to apply the grant to a fund that supports children’s welfare projects. You prepare the application by installing a logical framework table for the project (see form on the next page).
You use as a model the form described in the European Union’s Project cycle management guide guidelines (under study material week 6), more specifically diagram 14 p. 58 (see the same picture on slide 12 due to lecture week 6). An example of a completed form is shown in diagram 34 on p. 84 (ibid image appears on slides 14-15). An explanation of how the frame is filled (including in which row is filled in individual fields) appears in section 5.3 (planning stage) p. 71-84. With the completed form, you must concisely justify the assumptions you give yourself. Sea the completed frame for reference. You don’t have to base beliefs on sources like research results, but you can give them to yourself and create an additional background for the project to what is stated in the project description. From an interview with Harald:
Our daughter is ten years old. I think she is just one of the few in her class who hasn’t arrived with a smartphone, and I don’t think there will be any in the next few years,” says Haraldur.
With this Haraldur agrees with numerous managers and entrepreneurs in the technology sector, so as Apple founder Steve Jobs; Bill Gates, founder of Microsoft, and Sundar Pichai, Google executives, who have described how they limit or completely prevent their children’s use of intelligent devices. “These devices are very difficult for adults,” says Harold. “We get addicted to it very easily, and children even more so. Me, I don’t think we have yet realized what we have lived through in this sector.” He points out how recently intelligent devices have been around. “And like this fifteen years, people’s whole life pattern is changed. It wouldn’t surprise me that at some point in the future some restrictions would be placed on how these devices work are used,” says Haraldur, comparing it to the significant restrictions on tobacco smoking which have been placed. Source: RÚV/Kveikur: https://www.ruv.is/kveikur/vill-ekki-ad-bornin-noti-snjallsima/.
Project description Indicators Source of verification Assumptions
Overall objective
Purpose
Results
Activies
Short explaination:
Week 6 (10%)
In February 2019, Reykjavík City Council approved a reduction in the maximum speed on the Ring Road to 40 km per hour Traffic speed was also reduced on Ægissíða and parts of Hofsvallagätu and Nesvegar. This reduction was decided following an accident that occurred at the intersection of Hringbraut and Meistaravalli last month before. Not everyone agreed on the merits of this reduction in traffic speed in Vesturbær Reykjavík. In a discussion on the website Eyjunni, reference is made to the position of the Road Administration that needs to be examined the items as a whole, i.a., lighting, markings, and the pedestrian lights themselves where the accident in question occurred. The agency’s information officer stated that the police doubted the effect of this reduction.
It would be more essential to keep down the speed of traffic by enabling the police to follow it after. The information officer points out that according to police measurements, the speed in these areas is around 45 km. per hour
In April 2021, an even bigger step was taken to reduce the maximum speed when the Planning and Transport Council of The City of Reykjavík decided that 40 km. The maximum speed would be on almost all the streets in Reykjavík of the city (i.e. not main roads). This decrease can be seen as part of a more extended development that started
several decades when the maximum speed was reduced to 30 km. in the residential areas of Reykjavík. For decades, reports have been written about the effects of the city authorities’ reduction in traffic speed used as justification for the changes.
The mayor believes that it is necessary to get an assessment of the impact of a reduction in traffic speed in Vesturbær Reykjavík, which was decided in February 2019. The assessment will be used together with older reports when implementing the policy of the city authorities in traffic safety matters. You create an evaluation format for an impact evaluation (impact evaluation design). As a first step, answer the following questions:
1. What method or methods would be most appropriate to assess the impact of this reduction on
traffic speed? What is the argument?
2. Briefly, what steps do you plan to take during the preparation and implementation
of the assessment?
To consider a solution:
1. Rossi et al. chapter 6-7. In particular, the example discussed in the book can be viewed as a model
p. 174-175 (discussing “Exhibit 7-E(B)” Diagram of the Application of Propensity Score
Matching to the Evaluation of the Safety Effects of Speed Cameras.”)
2. Lecture and slides October 13, 2022.
Solution material 7. Analysis of project feasibility (weight 10%)
Under study material for week 8, you can see two reports with the results of the cost and benefit analysis (cost-benefit analysis, referred to as cost-benefit analysis in the reports).
1. Cost-benefit analysis of a comprehensive airport in Hvassahrauni. Primary examination.
2. Evaluation of a collaborative project on NPA user-directed personal assistance. Seven parts. Cost and profit analysis.
How is profit or gain calculated in these reports? Are some methodological
shortcomings of these methods, in your opinion?
Consider chapter 10 of the book chapter by Rossi et al., especially their discussion of methods of monetizing benefits.
Solution material 8. Development project (weight 5%)
As shown on the slides for week 9, pilot programs/projects are superlatives
projects that focus on new ways to solve social problems.
They are temporary and often evaluated formally, i.e., with project evaluation methods.
On the web, you will find two Icelandic experimental projects (i.e., projects with that name) that have been set up in the last ten years.
In short, how to evaluate these projects, i.e., which project assessment method is suitable for the assessment?
In consideration of a solution: Lecture (slides) week 9. It can also be helpful to review material in a book Rossi and colleagues on different methods of project evaluation.

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